7.16.2010

The REAL causes of the deficit

With Republicans claiming to be deficit hawks and frugality champions, it seems to be time to take a look at this chart from the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities showing the true causes of the deficit.

Background: Remember, the Republicans oppose the extension of unemployment ($34 billion) because it's bad for the deficit. But they support an extension of the Bush tax cuts ($678 billion), even though they're worse for the deficit. they also support an extension of subsidies to the billion-dollar-profit-making oil industry, to the tune of $4 billion a year.

But the deficit is all Obama's fault because of the stimulus and TARP. Just ask any Republican, they'll tell you. Never mind that TARP was started under President Bush and TARP saved the whole blanking economy.

The lower black line is where the deficit would be today without the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, the Bush-era tax cuts, TARP, and the Fannie and Freddie bailouts, the stimulus and the economic downturn.

Notice the culprits. In order, the Bush tax cuts are the biggest deficit problem we have. Second is the Bush economic downturn. Third are the on-going wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. TARP and stimulus - which have been credited with saving the economy - are far down the list.

But the GOP are concerned about the deficit. Right.

If we're truly going to talk defiict, let's look at the U.S. military budget. In 2009, military spending was $782 billion, 23% of our deficit-riddled budget. click the link and look at the projects we're funding. We're still building a Cold War military to fight 21st century battles. It's wasteful. And why? Because Congress's power is unchecked and connected politicians are able to strike deals saving outmoded bases and projects in their districts.

If we're serious about cutting the deficit, we have to look at military spending. Actually, first we have to get serious and stop any talk of the Bush tax cuts, which go to the wealthiest Americans who need it least. Cutting the funds that go directly to boost our moribund economy, unemployment and stimulus, is stupid, short-sighted and will have almost no impact on our deficit.

Chart: Hullabaloo via Cesca

O'Reilly defends Michelle Obama from Glenn Beck

With Glenn Beck complaining that Michelle Obama's outfit on the day she toured the oil spill was "an outrage", Bill O'Reilly stepped to her defense. O'Reilly chided Beck that he's worried about a dress and Laura Ingraham was claiming that the White House vegetable garden was a Communist plot.

However, the REALLY interesting thing was Beck's reaction. Laughing almost uncontrollably, he noted "Look at how many things in that garden are red." I can't help but think - as I have for a while - that Beck knows he's a button-pushing charlatan who just throws everything he can against the wall to see what sticks. He seems to be laughing when pushed about his own schtick.

Haven't you ever noticed that Beck almost NEVER has someone in studio with him, and never someone who isn't well-vetted to ensure that the narrative will never be questioned or broken?

Glenn Beck is a dangerous man.

7.15.2010

FDR's Second Bill of Rights

via Hammerito ....click through for more



How can ANYONE argue these as fundamental basic principles of a strong nation? I dare you.

Tea Party spokesman on CNN:"Racists have their own movement. It's called the NAACP":

Riiiiight. An organization that has protected people from discrimination since 1909 is racist.

I love it when rich white people try to portray themselves as victims. How sad.

7.14.2010

Real deficit numbers and the (huge) difference between tax cuts and unemployment

Reflecting on today's earlier post, what's more harmful to the deficit, unemployment or the Bush tax cuts?

Ezra

By the way, note how much cheaper it is to do tax cuts for those under $200,000. Look at how much more it costs to subsidize tax cuts for the wealthy - which is the difference between the yellow and red lines.

Racism? What racism? No racism in Sarah Palin's tea party world.

On tuesday, the NAACP passed a resolution condemning the racism it sees as coming from certain elements of the Tea Party.

Of course, Mrs. tea Party Mama Grizzly Sarah Palin has derided the resolution and denied any hint of racism coming from the movement she's trying to turn into her own campaign committee. "I am saddened by the NAACP's claim that patriotic Americans who stand up for the United States of America's Constitutional rights are somehow 'racists,'" Palin wrote in a Facebook note.

To Palin, Teabaggers aren't racist because they don't shout "Nigger!". Most of them don't, anyway. But don't forget this guy at a Palin rally in PA in 2008. (h/t Cesca)

But it's not about screaming the N-word anymore. Flashback to Lee Atwater's comments about race. About how it's not necessary, or wise,to shout that anymore. Now they use code words. They all know what it means.
You start out in 1954 by saying, "Nigger, nigger, nigger." By 1968 you can't say "nigger"—that hurts you. Backfires. So you say stuff like forced busing, states' rights and all that stuff. You're getting so abstract now [that] you're talking about cutting taxes, and all these things you're talking about are totally economic things and a byproduct of them is [that] blacks get hurt worse than whites.

And subconsciously maybe that is part of it. I'm not saying that. But I'm saying that if it is getting that abstract, and that coded, that we are doing away with the racial problem one way or the other. You follow me—because obviously sitting around saying, "We want to cut this," is much more abstract than even the busing thing, and a hell of a lot more abstract than "Nigger, nigger"
And the Tea Party uses code words. We want to "take our country back". From whom? Who has the country now, and why aren't they American?

So Palin sees no racism. Then how about Erick Erickson, founder of RedState.com, CNN contributor and known race-baiter? today, Erickson suggested a return to the Nixon/Atwater Southern strategy of using code words to appeal to Southern whites, and their like-minded brethern by bringing back the Willie Horton ads.
Media Matters

"King Samir Shabazz Should Be 2010's Willie Horton," CNN contributor and RedState.com editor-in-chief Erick Erickson wrote of the manufactured scandal over the Justice Department's handling of the New Black Panther Party case: "Republican candidates nationwide should seize on this issue. The Democrats are giving a pass to radicals who advocate killing white kids in the name of racial justice and who try to block voters from the polls."

Erickson added: "The Democrats will scream racism. Let them. Republicans are not going to pick up significant black support anyway."
Who is King Samir Shabazz? He's the Black Panther who showed up at a Philadelphia polling place in 2008 and launched cries of voter intimidation. The Department of Justice investigated, found he was engaged in improper intimidation activities and acted. They placed an injunction banning him from any Philadelphia polling place for the 2012 elections.

The conservative Smear Machine has picked up on this, accusing the DOJ of not doing enough and blowing the racial dog whistle.

Here's Fox News' Megyn Kelly working herself into a lather because one of her guests was not vetted well enough and had the temerity to suggest that Kelly was perhaps overeacting.
ThinkProgress
This afternoon, Kelly invited New York Post columnist — and regular Fox contributor — Kirsten Powers to debate the importance of this story. Kelly bemoaned that “no one seems to give a darn” about the allegations promulgated by former Bush DoJ lawyer J. Christian Adams. The conservative activist claims that the Obama Justice Department dropped voter intimidation charges against the New Black Panther Party due to racial considerations. Contrary to the claims, the Obama DoJ has issued an injunction against the member of the NBPP who was seen engaging in voter intimidation tactics, prohibiting him “from displaying a weapon within 100 feet of any Philadelphia polling place through 2012.”

Powers effectively dismantled the faux scandal for what it is, telling Kelly, “You can put me in the same category of people who don’t really give a darn.” “You don’t seem to know what you’re talking about,” Kelly immediately responded, growing more enraged as the two wrestled, jabbed, and bickered over the facts:

POWERS: The minute I challenge you, you tell me I don’t know what I’m talking about?

KELLY: Because you don’t.

POWERS: You just want people to come on and just agree with you –

KELLY: No, I want informed people.

POWERS: — that what you’ve been doing and the way you’ve been completely doing the “scary black man thing.”

Powers told Kelly, “I don’t remember people screaming” about the Bush administration’s miscarriages of justice in the Civil Rights Division. “Don’t make me cut your mic,” Kelly threatened at one point. Watch the showdown:

What racism? What code words? What dog whistles?

Olbermann deconstructs.

Wingnut Rick "gather your armies" Barber gets steamrolled in AL runoff



MONTGOMERY, Alabama AP — A mainstream Republican rolled past a conservative tea party activist in the primary runoff for a southeast Alabama congressional seat that Republicans hope to reclaim.
Montgomery City Councilwoman Martha Roby was drawing 60 percent in the unofficial count in the 2nd Congressional District Republican runoff Tuesday against Rick Barber, a former Marine who operates a Montgomery pool hall that hosts tea party meetings.
I feel a little better about Alabama today. Between Barber and Ag Commissioner reject Dale Peterson, there is hope.

Here's a Rick refresher:

John Kyl and the GOP openly favor oil companies over working Americans

Republican Whip Jon Kyl (R-Ariz.) is deeply concerned about extending unemployment benefits for the neediest of working Americans. Almost 2 million of those out of work the longest because of the recession have seen their benefits go away. He has raised eyebrows by calling jobless benefits a necessary evil", despite the fact that the OMB and most economists correctly point out that putting money that will immediately be spent into the economy provides a boost.
TPM
Kyl dismissed the view of the Congressional Budget Office, and a large swath of economists, that during a recession, extending unemployment is one of the ripest forms of stimulus.

"CBO's been wrong before," Kyl said. "It's not a stimulus for the economy, to try to help people through tough times. It's a necessary evil, in a sense. We'd like not to have to raise revenue in order to pay people for not working--or not to pay them for not working, but because they can't get work."

"To me you shouldn't look at it as an economic matter, it's a humanitarian matter. You got people who are out of work, who can't find work, you want to help 'em out. Families need help. That's why you provide it. You don't do it because it's going to stimulate the economy. You have to borrow the money in order to pay the folks. That borrowing has huge costs. They are adverse economics costs. So it's not a good thing for the economy. It's a bad thing for the economy but it's still the right thing to do for other reasons.
But, he says: [C]ontinuing to pay people unemployment compensation is a disincentive for them to seek new work."

This Republican meme that people are living high-on-the-hog on unemployment benefits is a complete fallacy, and worse than that, an insult to anyone who has ever been forced to reply on the benefits.
SocialistWorker.com
No one who looks at the facts could take this seriously. The long-term unemployed aren't still jobless because they're enjoying the high life off an unemployment check that averages just over $300 a week--not much above the minimum wage, and not nearly enough to keep a family of three above the official poverty line.

The problem is that there aren't any jobs for the jobless. According to government statistics, there are almost five unemployed workers for every one job opening. Overall employment has grown since the beginning of the year, but not fast enough to keep up with the natural growth in the population, much less replace the 8 million jobs lost in the recession.

And for some some people who are jobless today, they may not work ever again--not because they're "lazy," but because age discrimination has made it even more difficult for workers in their 40s and 50s.
That hasn't stopped wingnut Senate-hopeful Sharron Angle of Nevada...
Allentown Morning-Call
"You can make more money on unemployment than you can going down and getting one of those jobs that is an honest job that doesn't pay as much," Angle recently told an interviewer. "We've put so much entitlement into our government that we really have spoiled our citizenry."
Ah, yes. The citizenry spoiled by sending jobs away and then handing out checks so they can drive their Cadillacs and live in leisure, not working, while titans of industry toil restlessly to support them.

However, when it comes to tax breaks for the wealthiest 3% of Americans (4 percent tax increase on those who make over $250,000), Senator Kyl is undisturbed by digging the deficit deeper to the tunes of $678 billion, even though that's close to the number for 10 years of health care for Americans that was also a problem.

Kyl tried to defend his contradictory positions to Chris Wallace of Fox News:
New York Times
Mr. Kyl's first line of defense was to dismiss Mr. Wallace's query as "a loaded question" because "the Bush tax cuts applied to every single American." Mr. Wallace pointed out that he was only referring to the top tax brackets.

Eventually, Mr. Kyl trotted out the tired and unsubstantiated argument that the tax cuts for the wealthy must be extended because otherwise "you're going to clobber small business." Mr. Wallace persisted: "But, sir, . . .how are you going to pay the $678 billion?" -- at which point Mr. Kyl descended into nonsense. "You should never raise taxes in order to cut taxes," he declared. "Surely Congress has the authority, and it would be right to, if we decide we want to cut taxes to spur the economy, not to have to raise taxes in order to offset those costs. You do need to offset the cost of increased spending, and that's what Republicans object to. But you should never have to offset [the] cost of a deliberate decision to reduce tax rates on Americans."
So now stimulating the economy is a good thing, unless it's by direct infusions of cash under a program like TARP. TARP, which by the way, was proposed by Bush and continued under Obama but is being used to try to hang an non-existant albatross around Obama's neck.

Let's continue to oil company subsidies and tax breaks, to the tune of about $4 billion a year, which Kyl also supports. While stopping unemployment benefits (because of deficit concerns) and supporting tax breaks for the wealthiest 1% of Americans (despite deficit concerns), Kyl also supports tax breaks for big oil, an industry which rakes in billions a year selling a product to the American taxpayer that they've subsidized.

In fact, the oil companies pay a tax rate that ends up being far less than other, smaller and less-well-connected businesses:
New York Times
According to the most recent study by the Congressional Budget Office, released in 2005, capital investments like oil field leases and drilling equipment are taxed at an effective rate of 9 percent, significantly lower than the overall rate of 25 percent for businesses in general and lower than virtually any other industry.
The standard GOP cry is that if we don't subsidize the oil companies, jobs will decrease, as will oil production. If that happens, the terrorists win. However:
New York Times
But some government watchdog groups say that only the industry’s political muscle is preserving the tax breaks. An economist for the Treasury Department said in 2009 that a study had found that oil prices and potential profits were so high that eliminating the subsidies would decrease American output by less than half of one percent.

“We’re giving tax breaks to highly profitable companies to do what they would be doing anyway,” said Sima J. Gandhi, a policy analyst at the Center for American Progress, a liberal research organization. “That’s not an incentive; that’s a giveaway.”
So let's sum up the Kyl/GOP position:

Item: Deficit
Verdict: BAD

Item: Unemployment extension for working Americans hurt by the recession
Cost: $34 billion
Verdict: BAD - drives up the deficit

Item: Tax breaks for wealthiest 1% of Americans
Cost: $678 billion
Verdict: GOOD - although it drives up the deficit

Item: Tax breaks and subsidies for big oil on billions of dollars of profit
Cost: $4 billion
Verdict: GOOD - although it drives up the deficit.

Whose side are they on, tea partiers?

The party of NO? Yes, the party of NO! 7 GOP flip-flops to hurt Obama by weakening the country

PoliticsDaily

Seven Things Republicans Were For Before They Were Against Them

1. Financial disclosure
2. Cap and trade
3. Immigration
4. Deficit spending
5. Bipartisan deficit-reduction commission
6. Individual insurance mandate
7. Medicare spending curbs
Explanations? You want explanations, not just quick 'gotcha!' headlines? Absolutely, this isn't Fox News and I don't represent the GOP. Click through to read the excellent piece at PoliticsDaily.

Ouch! Why kan't Glenn Beck speel rite?

Heroes OR villians?

What's going on? The media is actually fact-checking and calling out wingnuts.

OK, no surprise here... Dylan Ratigan lays into Rep. Kevin Brady (R_TX) who refuses to answer Dylan's questions and tries to obfuscate and change the subject several times.
HuffPost

Rep. Kevin Brady (R-Texas) looked uncomfortable when MSNBC host Dylan Ratigan introduced him Tuesday afternoon to talk about unemployment benefits and Wall Street greed. Brady's discomfort proved well-founded.

Ratigan tore into the Texas Republican, who voted against the extension of unemployment benefits but for the Wall Street bailout known as the Troubled Asset Relief Program. Brady repeatedly attempted to deflect Ratigan's harsh line of questioning on the nature of Wall Street by arguing that potential -- not actual -- tax increases are stifling capital investment and thus job creation, but the MSNBC host didn't let up.

"I know you have an issue with the government, but I've got an issue with a private industry that's using the government to rape my country of its money, and I'd like to try to put a stop to that," Ratigan said.

"We are facing higher taxes in energy and income and capital and dividends," Brady argued, not for the last time. "All those tax proposals are what's keeping our recovery from gaining steam--"

"That's a lie. That's a lie," Ratigan shot back. "What's keeping our recovery from gaining steam is the fact that the financial industry is stealing America's money, depriving this country of any investment whatsoever, and that is the entire basis of our system, and the government has converted it from an investment vehicle into a vehicle for it to steal money for its rich friends."

The MSNBC host ended the segment on a frustrated note, complaining that Brady simply retreated to his talking points. "I'm done with you," Ratigan said, after he challenged Brady to answer his questions and his guest resumed talking about possible future taxes.

Here's Mark Haines of CNBC with Hans Bader of the Competitive Enterprise Institute. Bader is trying to flog the right-wing talking point that the Gulf Oil Spill isn't cleaned up because the President has refused foreign help because of a piece of legislation called the Jones Act — a 1920 law stipulating that commerce between U.S. ports needs to occur on U.S. ships. The claim is that Obama is citing the Jones Act at the command of his Big Union overlords.
ThinkProgress

Haines noted that 68 different offers of foreign cleanup help have been accepted, and then challenged Bader to cite examples of the Jones Act causing a problem:

HAINES: How many rejections under the Jones Act?

BADER: I don’t know how many.

HAINES: Excuse me, Senator McCarthy, you can’t tell us how many there are? I want the facts, give us hard facts, give us evidence, not innuendo, not baseless accusations, okay? It’s offensive to intelligence. The fact is sir, you have told us there are examples of rejections and you can not name a single one.